Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

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By: Dale A. Rose
Posted in Uncategorized on July 19th, 2009

Ativan over the counter, The recent H1N1 outbreak has been fertile ground for discussion on this site and elsewhere. Borrowing a term that Stephen once brought onto this blog, there is a veritable “smorgasbord” of objects, Wyoming WY Wyo. , concepts, strategies and technologies to examine and reflect upon as the world comes to grips with a bona fide pandemic event (I’ll save for Carlo to verify this claim). One such first-order concept which I would like to introduce today is “situation awareness.” The term has bubbled up a great deal lately in discussions around H1N1, especially within the various operational structures and organizations, generic ativan, such as HHS and CDC, taking the lead on the response side of things. Ativan en ligne afin, At its core, situation awareness, or SA, basically describes knowing the right information, Oregon OR Ore. , at the right time, in the right way and in the right amount, Ordering ativan no rx, in order to make the right decisions to improve or protect health. Although it is ostensibly applicable across all domains of public health, as a concept it is usually associated – or in any event, it eventually ties itself back to – public health emergency preparedness and response, Indiana IN Ind. . To give an example from H1N1, response has been very much guided by demands for information that go beyond what we might call “traditional” public health surveillance and epidemiological investigation, ativan over the counter. Certain disease detection and surveillance technologies have been employed in tracking the disease, but the sources of information are disparate and varied, Order ativan online cheap, requiring a great deal of filtering and integration to paint a meaningful picture. From aggregate disease reporting to case level data; media and internet search term tracking to hospital bed and patient tracking; virologic surveillance to border surveillance, the array of data being produced across heterogeneous sites that constitute an increasingly global health security apparatus is staggering. Contrast these information needs with the 1976 Swine Flu event, where to buy cheap ativan, and one begins to see a stark shift in terms of the kinds of techniques brought to bear in developing useful information for response.

Many of us blogging on VSS are familiar with various public health capabilities in the context of preparedness and response. Ativan over the counter, Community mitigation strategies, countermeasure delivery, mass prophylaxis and vaccination – these are just some of the capabilities to which public health is held accountable in carrying out its preparedness and response functions. Buy ativan pills, More to the point, knowledge about the state of readiness and performance of these various capabilities is also very much at the core of situation awareness. Think of knowledge about capabilities as something like the second half of a feedback loop in the production of situation awareness, the first half of which is information gleaned from signals (like flu surveillance, order ativan online without prescription, or internet search term use, or BioSense, Buy ativan no rx, etc.) in the external environment. In theory, marrying these two produces a picture not just of a health threat in near real-time, it also produces a picture of what can be done about it – what resources can be brought to bear – in like time, ordering ativan from canada, suggesting what likely outcomes will be. This, Nevada NV Nev. , in turn, can suggest future states, with future interventions and future outcomes, etc etc, ativan online stores.

For students of public health, this is a far cry from the kind of rationality that has governed public health surveillance historically: namely, a focus on the aggregation of a variety of population-level data to determine risk factors (and interventions) associated with health outcomes, ativan over the counter. I would like to suggest that public health’s traditional techniques – surveillance, epidemiological investigations, Buy ativan from canada, laboratory testing, etc.- are, at least at certain sites and in certain contexts, being marshaled and modified in service to the emergent need (rationality?) for situation awareness, Rabatt kaufen ativan. My core argument, which I’d like to test out in this forum, Utah UT , is that situation awareness embodies the demand for a new kind of knowledge, one premised less on the need for ever greater quantities of data, per se, and more on the need for timely, order ativan online, actionable information. Again turning to H1N1, Ordering ativan without prescription, this may account for the seemingly odd development that public health officials are no longer concerned, per se, with the accuracy of aggregate case counts. Generating that information is extremely resource-intensive and, köpa rabatterade ativan, to the point I am trying to make, not all that useful for public health decision-making. Ativan over the counter, At the level of actual practice, this number, the all-important “numerator” in calculating disease incidence, and “denominator” in calculating case fatality ratios – and the very core of traditional epidemiological techniques – has been backgrounded in favor of additional types of information: characteristics in severe cases, transmissibility in specific settings, such as schools and hospitals, utility of community mitigation strategies such as school closures (VERY controversial, for about a thousand reasons), and viral susceptibility to treatment and prophylaxis. Ativan online kopen, * * *

How has situation awareness emerged. What problems does it seek to address. What are its techniques. Its boundaries, order ativan c.o.d.. What configuration of practices and knowledge arose to form it, ativan over the counter. What demands does it place on individuals. On other assemblages and apparatuses. Cheap ativan tablets, These are complex questions worthy, I think, of further pursuit. Lyle, order ativan no prescription, of course, has done a stellar job of getting at many of these issues in his discussion of BioSense and syndromics, For ativan online, and I should very much like to see continued discussion of, for example, the employment (failure?) of real-time disease detection technologies in the context of H1N1. A broader investigation tracing back the concept may prove fruitful. A cursory look shows situation awareness to have a very extensive history in military applications, notably around operator performance of a variety of technologies, including aircraft and other combat vehicles. (Good) pilots have, in fact, been held as exemplars in the field, having been very heavily scrutinized for how they are able to make sense of, and inject order into, a vast amount of very disparate and very quickly changing information in a high-stress environment - and achieve desired outcomes on top of that. Tracing back contemporary public health situation awareness across its various lineages in aviation, psychology, operations research and the military, could prove a very informative project.

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By: Stephen Collier
Posted in Uncategorized on July 13th, 2009

Limor Samimian-Darash has a new article in American Ethnologist entitled "A pre-event configuration for biological threats: preparedness and the constitution of biosecurity events Buy ativan c.o.d., ."  The abstract is after the jump...

"Drawing on an inquiry into Israel's preparedness for biological threats, ativan pedido en línea, Order ativan no rx, in this article I suggest a new analysis of biosecurity events. A complex and dynamic assemblage emerges to prepare for biological threats, ordering ativan, Colorado CO Colo. , one that I call a "pre-event configuration." The assemblage is composed of three core elements—the scientific element, the security element, Alaska AK , Ativan generic, and the public health element—each of which diagnoses threats and suggests appropriate solutions. This configuration also determines what will be perceived as an event for which preparation is needed and what will remain a nonevent, Louisiana LA . Ativan pills, I maintain that the constitution of an event takes place beyond the actual time of its occurrence and is determined by the pre-event configuration in the "time of event." Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of events should combine an examination of actual events and their aftermath with an inquiry into their potentialities as determined by the pre-event configuration."

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By: Lyle Fearnley
Posted in Uncategorized on June 30th, 2009

Order cheap ativan online, I am meeting with the Beijing Haidian District CDC on Thursday Beijing time. As part of the meeting they have asked me to give a talk discussing H1N1 and US/WHO policies, buy ativan. Comprar en línea ativan, I thought it would be useful to take advantage of our distributed network which has done a lot of thinking about this: what is the current word on H1N1 (swine-origin) influenza. Buy ativan cod. Lowest price ativan. Kansas KS Kans. . Generic ativan. Comprare ativan sconto. Order ativan. Ativan pharmacy. Comprar ativan baratos. Buy ativan online without prescription. Ativan without a prescription. Ordering ativan online. Cheap ativan without prescription. Buy ativan c.o.d.. Missouri MO Mo. . Buy cheap ativan online. Georgia GA Ga. . Maine ME Me. . Ativan without prescription. Acheter ativan bon marché. Where to buy ativan. Ordering ativan no prescription. Kjøp Discount ativan. Ativan over the counter.

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By: Carlo Caduff
Posted in Uncategorized on June 10th, 2009

Buy cheap ativan online, "The problem, WHO officials have said, is that after years of preparing for the threat of a pandemic strain of the deadly H5N1 avian influenza virus, many governments and people think of a pandemic as a deadly worldwide plague."

Apparently, the WHO is now "very close" to declaring a pandemic. See below for an interesting CIDRAP piece.

WHO 'very close' to declaring a pandemic

Robert Roos * News Editor

Jun 9, Om ativan online, 2009 (CIDRAP News) – The World Health Organization (WHO) is getting "very close" to declaring that a novel H1N1 influenza pandemic has arrived, Kentucky KY Ky. , but the agency wants to spend more time preparing the world for that step so it won't cause panic, a WHO official said today.

In view of the virus's spread in Australia, cheap ativan, far from the epidemic epicenter in North America, αγοράζουν φτηνά ativan, "We are getting really very close to knowing that we're in a pandemic situation or declaring that we're in a pandemic situation," Dr. Keiji Fukuda, cheapest ativan online, the WHO's assistant director-general for health security and environment, Order ativan online legally, said at a press briefing today.

But before declaring a pandemic, the WHO wants to do more to reduce the risk of panic and overreactions such as trade embargoes, border closures, travel restrictions, and a flood of "worried well" people in hospital emergency departments, Fukuda said, buy cheap ativan online.

"One of the things we're really focusing on right now is to help countries, help institutions, Illinois IL Ill. , help the media really understand what are pandemics and provide as much information as possible so we reduce any adverse effects . Cheap ativan online, . . and prevent misunderstanding that may lead to actions that really increase anxiety in people, order ativan pills," he said. Buy cheap ativan online, Meanwhile, WHO Director-General Dr. Ordering ativan online without prescription, Margaret Chan told the Associated Press (AP) today that "on the surface of it," a pandemic appears to be under way. She said she would confer with governments tomorrow to verify some of the reports she has received before making a formal announcement, purchase ativan online, the AP story said. Køb billige ativan, "Once I get indisputable evidence, I will make the announcement," the AP quoted Chan as saying, New York NY N.Y. .

Scary terminology
The WHO has had its pandemic alert level at phase 5 since Apr 29. Phase 5 means a novel virus has achieved sustained community transmission in more than one country within one global region, and it suggests that a pandemic is imminent, buy cheap ativan online. Rhode Island RI R.I. , Phase 6, the peak stage, means a novel virus is spreading in more than one global region and the pandemic has arrived, Maryland MD Md. . The WHO's phase definitions characterize only the disease's geographic spread, Buy ativan cheap, not its severity.

Because the virus is well-established in North America and now seems entrenched in Australia as well, the current situation seems to fit the WHO's criterion for phase 6, purchase ativan. But the WHO has held off on announcing phase 6 out of concern that it would cause unnecessary alarm, Cheap ativan no prescription, given that the novel virus causes mild disease in most cases. Buy cheap ativan online, The problem, WHO officials have said, is that after years of preparing for the threat of a pandemic strain of the deadly H5N1 avian influenza virus, many governments and people think of a pandemic as a deadly worldwide plague.

Last week Fukuda said the WHO would come up with a way to describe the severity of the H1N1 threat and couple that with any pandemic declaration, in an effort to prevent undue alarm, ordering ativan online cheap. Today he indicated that the agency is still working on a severity scale and other information to provide when announcing the move to phase 6. Cheap ativan overnight delivery, "One of the things many countries have been struggling with is that their existing pandemic plans have been based on a more severe scenario, the H5N1 virus, so some of the things their plans called for may be inappropriate, cheap ativan online," he said. För ativan online, As for the kinds of adverse effects the WHO fears if it declares a pandemic too soon, Fukuda cited several things that have already happened in some places since the novel virus emerged: misguided culling of pigs because of the term "swine flu," trade embargoes, Vermont VT Vt. , concern about travelers from affected countries, Osta ativan, concern about border closures, and travel restrictions.

"In the past, people who were worried but not particularly sick have overrun hospitals," he added, buy cheap ativan online.

Managing the media, Tennessee TN Tenn. .
Fukuda was asked if, in delaying the pandemic declaration, the WHO is just trying to "manage the media."

He replied that moving to phase 6 "is not simply getting up in front of press cameras and making an announcement, it's really a way to prepare the world to deal with the situation." He said countries need information and tools for dealing with the epidemic and added that much work is being done on communication, vaccine development, antiviral drug supplies, and clinical guidelines.

"This is not managing the media, this is not nuancing the messages, this is really getting countries and populations ready so they can handle and deal with this virus as well as possible," he asserted.

"One of the critical issues is we do not want people to over-panic if they hear that we're in a pandemic situation and that they understand for example that this is a moderate level [of disease]," he said in answering further questions. Buy cheap ativan online, Some victims previously healthy
In other comments, Fukuda said the WHO is concerned that about half of the patients who have died of the new virus did not have pre-existing health problems—an observation he has mentioned at earlier briefings.

"It's probably fair to say approximately half of the people who have died have been previously healthy people. This is I think one of the observations that gives us the most concern," he said. "From the outset and from reports coming from Mexico, we knew that a number of deaths had taken place among younger people who were previously healthy. This is a pattern we've seen with the H5N1 virus and one we've seen in previous pandemics."

He added that a number of institutions and physicians are studying these cases to identify risk factors.

Fukuda also said:

* The WHO has seen no major changes in the virus in recent weeks.
* The clinical picture of cases in the southern hemisphere is much the same as in northern regions, with most cases being mild.
* The WHO and other groups are still "wrestling with" the problem of finding a name for the novel virus that is accurate and won't stigmatize pigs or places.

See also:

WHO H1N1 influenza page
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/en/index.html.

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By: Stephen Collier
Posted in Uncategorized on May 25th, 2009

 

 

From Bloomberg Buy ativan no prescription, , and with a nod to Adam Leeds for sending this along: Apparently, late at night, when he has time to let his mind wander, our President muses about vulnerable, vital systems.

Separately, ativan farmacia a buon mercato, φτηνές φαρμακείο ativan, Obama, in response to a question on when he finds time in his schedule to sit and reflect, ativan discount, Ordering ativan pills, said he tends to be a “night-owl” and typically stays up until midnight after having dinner with his family.


He said sometimes he isn’t dealing with current matters, yet rather, Køb discount ativan, Buy cheap ativan, mulling issues “coming down the pike.”


An example, he said, buy generic ativan, Order ativan online, is cyber security.


“There is not a cyber attack right now,” he said, acheter ativan discount. Arizona AZ Ariz. , “But that’s a big critical system that is vital to our economy. It’s vital to our public health infrastructure.”


Obama said he is working to “get the wheels turning now” on how to set up systems to protect data while also allowing the government to work with the private sector and not stifle innovation.


 

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By: Andrew Lakoff
Posted in Uncategorized on May 13th, 2009

In a recent Newsweek article Order ativan without prescription, on the swine flu pandemic, Laurie Garrett ties together two seemingly disparate problems: the global meat industry and "viral sovereignty." First, she analyzes the swine flu outbreak through the lens of disease ecology, whose vision of pathogenic globalization was a central element in the “emerging disease” framework as initially articulated in the late 1980s.  In this vision, new diseases are constantly emerging due to the conjuncture of natural ecological processes and massive human transformations of the environment:

“We live in a globalized world, filled with shared microbial threats that arise in one place, are amplified somewhere else through human activities that aid and abet the germs, and then traverse vast geographic terrains in days, even hours—again, thanks to human activities and movements. If there is blame to be meted out, buy ativan no prescription, Billig kaufen ativan, it should be directed at the species Homo sapiens and the manifest ways in which we are reshaping the world ecology, offering germs like the influenza virus extraordinary new opportunities to evolve, West Virginia WV W.Va. , Ativan, mutate and spread.”

She then argues, from the vantage of disease ecology, comprare ativan, Buy ativan overnight delivery, that the global meat industry is the appropriate site of blame for the emergence of the new strain of H1N1 – and for further pandemics to come: “It is a strange world wherein billions of animals are concentrated into tiny spaces, breeding stock is flown to production sites all over the world and poorly paid migrant workers are exposed to infected animals… This is the ecology that, online ativan, Ativan online cheap, in the cases of pigs and chickens, is breeding influenza, Osta ativan online. Michigan MI Mich. , It is an ecology that promotes viral evolution. And if we don’t do something about it, Jotta ativan verkossa, Buy ativan without prescription, this ecology will one day spawn a severe pandemic that will dwarf that of 1918.” What is striking here is that it is not Mike Davis making the argument that the US meat industry is a zone of virulence, but rather a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, pharmacy ativan. Cheapest ativan, The article then moves from the danger posed by the global meat industry to another danger: what she calls “viral sovereignty.” Here she refers to the claim made initially by Indonesian Health Minister Siti Supari that nation-states have intellectual property rights to H5N1 viruses found in the country, which Supari has used as the basis for refusing to share these viruses with WHO as part of its influenza early warning system (GISN), Oklahoma OK Okla. . Kjøpe ativan online, Garrett writes: “The principle of viral sovereignty directly imperils the entire global community--as well as Supari's own people.”  The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt has now adopted this position against virus sharing, and further, cheap ativan, Køb billige ativan, has demanded that the US Naval Medical Research Unit in Cairo be shut down.

What brings Garrett's two diagnoses - of the pathogenic meat industry and of dangerous virus politics - together, buy ativan c.o.d.. Comprar en línea ativan, Disease ecology indicates that we need global transparency to track and contain outbreaks of novel pathogens.  Thus, for Garrett, cheap ativan online legally, Order ativan pills, Mexico provides a model of compliance with the needs of global health surveillance – showing the world “how a responsible nation can respond to a potential pandemic.”. Cheap ativan. Cheap ativan from canada. Ativan generic.

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By: Stephen Collier
Posted in Uncategorized on May 12th, 2009

Buy klonopin cod, Over the last few weeks – both before and after they were officially released – a great deal of critical attention has been turned to the “stress tests” that were organized by the Treasury Department to determine the health of major U.S. Cheap klonopin overnight delivery, banks. A major criticism of these tests has been that the “adverse scenario” used in them is actually not that adverse, order klonopin overnight delivery. Buy klonopin no rx, It makes assumptions about economic growth, employment, Tennessee TN Tenn. , Ordering klonopin pills, rates of mortgage default, and other factors that hardly constitute a “worst case scenario.” Consequently, comprar klonopin de descuento, Buy klonopin, argue these critics, the “stress tests” do not really “stress” the banks at all. 


In light of this criticism, klonopin without a prescription, Generic klonopin, a discussion has emerged about what the point of these stress tests really are, and I think that this secondary discussion is quite interesting for us in understanding how these stress tests relate to some of the phenomena that we have been thinking and writing about, pharmacie klonopin bon marché. Buy klonopin c.o.d., A major argument that has been made by defenders of these stress tests – and it is an argument that I find quite convincing – is that in fact the “adverse scenario” is in no way shape or form intended to present a “worst case” scenario. We know what would happen in a worst case scenario: the government would take these banks over and guarantee their deposits, buy klonopin cod. Instead, North Carolina NC N.C. , Köpa klonopin online, the stress tests are supposed to present a “moderately bad” scenario, one in which it is possible that a system of regulation based on mandated reserve ratios or capital requirements would allow banks to weather the storm without further government intervention.


The point I would make here is this: In some important ways, Idaho ID , Comprar en línea klonopin, the stress tests resemble catastrophe modeling on a technical level. That is, goedkope klonopin apotheek, Cheap klonopin online without prescription, they collect a tremendous amount of data about the banking system, and then run simulations to understand how it would respond to certain adverse conditions, where to buy klonopin. Arkansas AR Ark. , But on the level of political technology it works differently. In areas such as civil defense, West Virginia WV W.Va. , Georgia GA Ga. , pandemic preparedness, or catastrophe insurance, comprare klonopin sconto, Comprare klonopin, the point was really to understand how a system would respond if the worst imaginable thing actually came to pass. In the case of the stress tests, New York NY N.Y. , Buy klonopin overnight delivery, the question is whether the system could make it through a reasonably adverse economic scenario without external intervention.


Taking this point one step further, it seems that what is emerging is perhaps a two-tiered system for financial system security. On the one hand, there is continued acknowledgement that in the absolutely worst cases – the “unthinkable” economic emergencies – the remedy will be government intervention to save the banking system. On the other hand, mechanisms like the stress test are intended to ensure that the banking system could survive on its own under moderately adverse economic conditions. In the future, the stress test might, of course, serve another role as well, as was suggested yesterday in the New York Times Breaking Views blog: It could be institutionalized as the basis for a more flexible kind of financial regulation, one that did not set hard and fast rules about capital requirements or reserve ratios, but that used much more intensive exchange of data to assess banks financial position, and to try to prevent the kinds of risk exposures that led to the current crisis.


How does this map onto our thinking about emerging concepts like systemic risk regulation as an example of vital systems security?

.

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By: Stephen Collier
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By: Lyle Fearnley
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People are actively attempting to infect Buy cheap klonopin online, themselves with the "mild" strain of H1N1, hoping to give themselves immunity in case more severe strains appear in the future. Resonates with the DIY Bio folks, Wyoming WY Wyo. . Osta klonopin online, Also, another example of the power of the 1918 pandemic analogy: the rationalization is that the 1918 flu had a mild spring wave, cheapest klonopin online, Cheapest klonopin, and two severe fall and winter waves. My sense is that there is no reason to assume this strain will behave similarly, buy klonopin online without prescription. Klonopin. Klonopin prices. Klonopin discount. Mississippi MS Miss. . Köpa billiga klonopin. Ordering klonopin no rx. Acheter klonopin discount. Connecticut CT Conn. . Ordering klonopin overnight delivery. Ordering klonopin no prescription. Cheapest klonopin prices. Cheap klonopin online. Delaware DE Del. . Cheapest klonopin in the world. Price of klonopin. Buy klonopin without prescription. Buy cheap klonopin. Acquistare a buon mercato klonopin. Køb discount klonopin. Acheter en ligne klonopin.

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“Rabadan suggests the way to think of this flu is like a homemade car with parts from different vehicles. The parts have all been in several different vehicles before, Texas TX Tex. . Wisconsin WI Wis. , Sometimes the combination of parts is a dud and the car doesn't move. And sometimes you get a race car, cheap klonopin online legally. Alabama AL Ala. , A pandemic is a race car.” - Associated Press (5 May 2009). Cheap klonopin no rx. Order klonopin c.o.d.. Klonopin no prescription. Purchase klonopin. Nevada NV Nev. . Florida FL Fla. . Klonopin over the counter. South Carolina SC S.C. . Billige klonopin apotek. Cheap klonopin from canada. Buy cheap klonopin online. παραγγείλετε online klonopin. Kaufen klonopin. Ordering klonopin online cheap. Um klonopin online.

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