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Surveillance for and scrutiny of influenza has been stepped up since 2003, when H5N1 bird flu reappeared in Asia. Experts fear this strain, or another strain, could spark a pandemic that could kill millions.

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Here is an interesting piece from NY Times on some familiar issues we have been dealing with in the OEP research. 

The record storms and floods that swept through the Midwest last month struck at the heart of America’s corn region, drowning fields and dashing hopes of a bumper crop. They also brought into sharp relief a new economic hazard. As America grows more reliant on corn for its fuel supply, it is becoming vulnerable to the many hazards that can damage crops, ranging from droughts to plagues to storms.

Apparently the price of ethanol went up by 19 percent in a month after the floods. The article goes on to construct a scenario that can take place once the share of biofuel in the overall supply of gasoline goes up to 20 percent:

Experts fear that a future crop failure could take so much fuel out of the market that it would send prices soaring at the pump. Eventually, the cost of filling Americans’ gas tanks could be influenced as much by hail in Iowa as by the bombing of an oil pipeline in Nigeria.

Just as in the case of OEP once again a catastrophic event (storm and flood) in a medium inherently governed by stochastic processes (the weather) problematized as a potential threat to the stability of the economy as a vulnerable system (eventually leads to the question of resilience again as we saw in the case of war mobilization and inflation problem by the early 70s under Nixon). As the article argues, introduction of biofuel leads to a new level of vulnerability:

Hurricanes Katrina and Rita interrupted a quarter of the nation’s oil production and closed dozens of refineries for weeks. Lines formed for the first time since the 1970s as gasoline spiked above $3 a gallon, a record at the time. The nation’s increasing dependence on crops for motor fuel adds another level of vulnerability from the weather.

I thought what is particularly interesting in this case is the opening up of a blockage as we pass a threshold with the emergence of biofuel. To my knowledge this is a very new development as corn, a conventional and critical source of food for populations is becoming a source of energy as the seemingly stable barrier between these two categories of vital domains are being linked for the first time as we demolished the barrier separating these two domains. Now we face with a new interface that is in need of being governed as one can even see in the concerns that IMF and World Bank have expressed their worries about this new phenomenon recently.  It seems like at a technical level the first 3 generations of biofuels, there is nothing new about the process of transforming biomass into biofuel. It is a simple process of production of ethanol. However, what is interesting is that a company called Synthetic Genomics is is genetically engineering microorganisms to produce fuel directly from carbon dioxide on an industrial scale, which might be a possible solution to the problem of vulnerability mentioned above. I believe the founder of the company might be a familiar figure to those who are working on synthetic biology: Craig Venter, a member of the effort to map the human genome and the founder of The Institute for Genomic Research. An interesting convergence of VSS and Synthetic Biology and Nanotechnology blogs...

I am happy to introduce Amelia Moore to this blog. Amelia is a doctoral student at UC Berkeley. Currently, she is conducting fieldwork in the Bahamas (and the U.S.). Her terrific research project focuses on biocomplexity and resonates with many other projects conducted by our little group over here at the vss blog. Amelia recently sent me a short description of her research project. To learn more, read on! Investigating Biocomplexity: Forms of Contemporary Environmental Research in the BahamasI am currently conducting my dissertation fieldwork in several locations in The Bahamas. As an archipelago of over 700 low lying islands protected by the world’s third largest reef system, The Bahamas is perceived by reef biologists and conservationists as a uniquely situated site for contemporary environmental research projects concerning marine reserve design and human/environment interaction. Regional fears about climate change, fisheries stability, and ecological and social vulnerability lend a necessary urgency to this research, creating a space, like many in the world, where potential crisis is simultaneously an opportunity to devise emergent scientific forms. My own work focuses on the experts and technicians, Bahamian and foreign, involved in environmental research and management in The Bahamas, and on the ways in which they create and utilize practical forms of knowledge and reinvent, or remediate, general ideas.The general questions guiding my study are the same questions which currently structure the expanding domain of contemporary environmental research as an increasingly globally oriented phenomenon. They are, what is the human relation to the environment, what are the changes occurring within that relation, what is the best way to go about intervening in that relation in order to prevent catastrophe, and how do we come to know what is best? The questions might also be rephrased as, what is life today, how is life changing today, what is at stake for life today, and how do we secure life today? These questions delineate a growing problem space around the notion of life today. My own work takes this up as an anthropological problem concerning the way in which life today, in a certain domain of action, has become simultaneously an object and a question in a milieu of perceived difficulties and crisis.Investigating the ways in which life has become a question today, how it has become problematized in the realm of environmental research, also entails investigating how problems travel across the globe, how specific projects are designed to address them, and how specific research sites are selected as the location of possible answers. This leads me from research centers of the US- the NSF headquarters and the Center for Biodiversity Conservation at the American Museum of Natural History- to my primary field site. My own research in The Bahamas will be an investigation of the milieu of international research projects- the current and historical concerns and proposed interventions surrounding coral reef conservation and fisheries sustainability that situate the projects within that archipelagic nation. I want to consider the ways in which the Bahamas, through its marine ecology and specific social, political, and economic situating, became a site for the investigation of such “global” problems; I want to consider the various ways in which data is produced from this site; and I also want to consider how particular projects come to appeal to certain Bahamian governmental and non-governmental institutions and actors as an appropriate means through which to generate knowledge about conditions in the Bahamas.One aspect of my research concerns the notion of biocomplexity as one new formulation of life within this problem space which enables the objectification and investigation of life in novel ways. It is also a scientific assemblage which has formed as one attempt to begin to answer these questions about life today. In an article in Bioscience derived from a panel discussion at the 2001 annual meeting for the American Institute for Biological Sciences, "Defining and Unraveling Biocomplexity," biocomplexity is referred to as a concept intuitively grasped by scientists and engineers. The panelists proposed a tentative definition for the term, with the presumption that this definition would be modified in the future: Biocomplexity is "properties emerging from the interplay of behavioral, biological, chemical, physical, and social interactions that affect, sustain, or are modified by living organisms, including humans." I propose to examine a particular moment in environmental research, a moment comprising the recent past, present, and near future, that is the US National Science Foundation’s (NSF) Biocomplexity in the Environment Investment Program. I will approach this program, and the notion of biocomplexity in an imperiled global ecosystem that it promoted, through a specific project funded by the NSF from 2000 to 2006, the Bahamas Biocomplexity Project (BBP) and its current permutations.The role of the social scientist within the emergent biocomplexity assemblage is also a primary concern of mine precisely because their involvement is an explicit aspect of the problematization of contemporary environmental research. As notions of life become increasingly construed as complex, the distinctions between what is considered human and what is considered nature become increasingly blurred and rearticulated in new ways. Social scientists, as researchers authorized to produce knowledge about human organization and behavior, are now implicated in the production of knowledge about nature because nature itself, understood as the dynamic and complex processes of life (understood as biocomplexity) now has an integral (or internal) human component. Interdisciplinarity has become the mode through which research is conducted in the biocomplexity assemblage, and social scientists participate with natural scientists and life scientists on the common project of elucidating the complex systems of planetary life. In other words, the problematization of life within the biocomplexity assemblage requires an attention to holism in research design which necessitates the inclusion of social scientists in some projects as representatives of the social component of life. Contemporary environmental research may be instantiating a return to cosmological thinking, though this new sort of cosmology as biocomplexity is less concerned with proving the existence of God than it is with securing or saving vital living systems from collapse and catastrophe. I am concerned with the potential implications of such an internalization of social science within this assemblage.Finally, my research pays attention to the history of social scientific research in The Bahamas and the Caribbean, and the particular problematizations therein which resonate in interesting ways with the emergent problematization of life. Since the anthropological and sociological “discovery” of the Caribbean as a socially distinct geographic region, the area has long been construed as the site which either embodied or prefigured the worldwide complexification and globalization of human social, political, and economic processes. The region became a conceptual testing ground which broke conventional social theory, forcing an attention to contact, complexity, dynamism, scale, change, and the development of new concepts and research designs. The contemporary Caribbean, conceived of as the site of dynamic human and natural marine systems, is again figured as an embodiment of complexity within the frame of biocomplexity research, and I hope to remain attentive to the ways in which these two problems, the problem of life and the problem of the Caribbean, may potentially parallel, intersect, or reinforce each other in the Bahamian milieu, and to the way in which these problems are articulated and internalized by BBP scientists, Bahamian conservationists, teachers and lecturers, governmental and NGO officials, and Bahamian fishers.

Here is the GAO report on the US government's ill-conceived attempt to fund the development of a second-generation vaccine for anthrax.

In the last chapter (entitled "Death") of her new book, Dolly Mixtures, Sarah Franklin comments in interesting ways on the food and mouth crisis of 2001 and the so-called slaughter policy.

Melinda Cooper recently drew my attention to an interesting study conducted by Harvard Medical School Center and sponsored by Swiss Re and the United Nations Development Programme. The study predicts that "climate change will significantly affect the health of humans and ecosystems and these impacts will have economic consequences." In addition, the study attempts to "survey" existing and future costs of climate change. It argues that the insurance industry "will be at the center of this issue, absorbing risk and helping society and business to adapt and reduce new risks." The study seems to be of particular interest to us in multiple ways. First, it indicates that new assemblages of actors, institutions, and interests are emerging around the problem of climate change. The fact that an international development organization, an American elite medical school, and an influential Swiss insurance company collaborate seems interesting in and of itself. One of the questions we might want to pose is: What rationality aligns these very different types of actors? What kinds of interests take shape? Second, the study is based on three elements: trends, case studies and scenarios. Techniques of scenario planning have been a key focus of this blog, and we might use the study to continue our engagement with scenario planning techniques (as well as trend examination and case studies) and what they are doing. Third, the study outlines effects of climate change with regard to infectious diseases such as malaria, West Nile virus, Lyme disease and asthma. This inclusion of infectious diseases seems to be a new turn in the climate change problematization. What is the reason for this inclusion? What is it doing? What is the empirical basis? What does this inclusion leave out? This may or may not be an opportunity to continue our discussion of the vital. Fourth, the study calls for an integration of "stakeholders" and it calls climate change both a financial risk as well as a business opportunity (with a reference to, among other things, Hurricane Katrina). Are we seeing here a new turn in the neo-liberalization of nature? Fifth, the study suggests new financial tools for the securitization of unpredictable events related to climate change. These new security frameworks call for an anthropological investigation. Sixth, what is climate change doing to (and for) the (bio)sciences that are involved? All in all, how might we analyze climate change as a distinctive style of reasoning from an anthropological point of view? What forms of future engagement might be interesting? And what would the stakes of such a project be?